The Scientific Method
So for this post i wanted to show you how i came to my concusions on intutive investing. I figure the best way to prove it to both you and me is to test it with the scientific method. I'll share my own findings, but i would like you to come to your own conclusions. Then when you do, i want you to feel it out.
So here's the scientific method:
Ask a Question - can you predict the stock market
Do Background Research - psychic powers, triggers
Construct a Hypothesis - On an earnings call date the price of a stock will either go up or down
Test Your Hypothesis by Doing an Experiment - we will practice using my method! The two -- indicates my stock picks, this was my very first few days trading
For 11/25
HCMLF
DE
DCI -- +2.29%
BONA
DSKY
TPTJF -
QADA
DATE -
A LOT
For 11/27
CNCO -- + 0.15%
VIMC
LITB -
For 11/30
WUBA
THO
GLNG
KANG -- +13.89%
FSC
For 12/1
BNS
BMO -- +1.13%
For 12/2
RY
AVGO -- +0.93%
BF.B
NTIOF -
SNPS
For 12/3
MDT
TD
KR -- +4.41%
CM -
DG -
ULTA
COO
For 12/8
COST
AZO
TOL
HDS
CASY -- +2.96%
JW.A
CZMWF
For 12/10
IDEXF
ADBE -- -2.35%
For 12/14
PAY
NAV
LDR -- -1.89% - -12.56%
For 12/15
MTAGF
FDS
HEI.A -- +0.89%
For 12/16
ORCL
FDX
JBL -- -1.15%
WOR
MLHR
APOG
JOY
For 12/17
CAN
GIS -- -2.8%
RHT
SAFM
For 12/18
CCL -- +3.96
KMX
LEN
12/22
NKE
PAYX--
CAG
MU
CAMP
AOLS
For 12/6
MON
GPN
RPM -- -.89%
For 12/7
WBA
STZ -- +5.0%
For 12/8
AYI --
AZZ
SYRG
For 12/11
AA
MSM
WAFD -- +1.59
For 1/14
JPM -- +2.00%
For 1/15
WFC
C - went with this one -2%
USB --
For 1/22
GE -- -2%
SAP
SYF
STI
For 1/25
AMGN --
For 1/29
RHHBY--
CVX
MA
For 2/2/2016
XOM
PFE
GILD --
For 2/15/2016
LRLCY
HEINY
RIO
SCGLY -- closed
For 2/16
NSRGF
NSRGY -- +0.42%
ESRX
For 2/17
PCLN -- +11.40%
TMUS
DPS
MAR
ADI
ABX-- +2.2%
For 2/18
WMT -- -4%
DUK
E -- -1.2%
For 2/19
ENB
VFC
DE --
BAESY
PEG
CPYYY
COG -- +1.99%
For 2/22
ACC
AWI
CHGG -- +1.79%
For 2/23
ALDR -- -3%
For 2/29
VLKAY
VRX --9.50%
GLP ---- -. 30%
CKEC
For 3/1
FTAI
GGB
GKOS-- +0.91% after second check at 10:30AM +2.00% after third check at 10:51AM +2.55% at 11:09AM +2.98% @ 11:12AM
For 3/2
DEA
ECR -- +1.28% increased to +4.29%
For 3/3
BURL --
DVCR
EAC -- -1%
For 3/4
AHC -- +3.15%
AVEO
For 3/7
ACRX
ADMA -- +0.39%
For 3/8
ABM
ADUS
AMIC
ATRS --
BPI ----- +1.30%
For 3/9
APRI --------- +0% -> +1.77% -> +4.94%
BIND
BIOC -- +9%
For 3/10
ABUS
AGFS
ANTH -- +5.00%
For 3/11
CVGI
DAKP
DWSN -- +0.77% -> +3.32% -> +7.83%
GURE ------ +0.55%
For 3/14
UTSI
AKAO ---- -0.29%
ARTX
BBLU -- +7.42%
For 3/15
ARCO
ARDM -- +7.14%
CLBS ---- -14.22%
For 3/16
ARCO ------ +8.50%
AXAS -- +8.50%
For 3/17
ARO -- +5.12%
For 3/18
AETI -- +0.98%
For 3/21
BLPH
CREG ------
CTCM
FLL --
Analyze Your Data and Draw a Conclusion
This is where I made the conclusion that this stuff works. I do alot of paper trading then once im on a roll i stick my money in a stock.
Communicate Your Results - So the results are it's 50/50. Sometimes your right and on a roll then your off and you lose some of your money. Here's some extra data after i took a break from this for a while
UPDATE: Stop losses, they will significantly prevent your losses as long as their is volume of at least 100,000
For 6/2
BV -- UP +2%
For 6/7
ENZ -- UP - +1.94% --
For 6/8
FCEL -- UP +3.67%
For 6/9
ARIS
CBK -- +5.91%
For 6/16
CO -- UP +1.21% -> 2.43%
For 6/27
APOL -- +0.22%
Those were my best records,
It's like tai says, "show me the results". In conclusion i think this can be mastered and taken to a whole another level. I believe we have to combine logic with intuition. then we will get massive results.
Chris